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Süper Lig · Matchday 19Sunday 31 January · 12:00 · Diyarbakır Stadyumu
Amed SK2nd place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Kocaelispor8th place
AMD 61%X 23%KOC 16%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Amed SK take 3.0 points per game at home.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Amed SK 1.3, Kocaelispor -0.1.
  • Last 5 games: Amed SK 2.6 points per game, Kocaelispor 1.4.
  • If Amed SK score first, they win 84% of the time
  • If Kocaelispor score first, they win 45% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.8 – 0.8
Over 2.549%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
161%1.64X23%4.27216%6.43
Double chance
1X84%1.18X239%2.571277%1.31
Goals
Over 2.549%2.02Under 2.551%1.98BTTS yes48%2.10BTTS no52%1.91

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
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5
Rows: Amed SK · Columns: Kocaelispor1-0 probability 12.2%

Form

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Head to head

Kocaelispor – Amed SK24 August 20262-0