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Süper Lig · Matchday 19Sunday 31 January · 12:00 · Konya Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu
Konyaspor15th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Fenerbahçe6th place
KON 22%X 24%FB 54%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Fenerbahçe lead by 213 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Fenerbahçe 0.8, Konyaspor -0.2.
  • Last 5 games: Fenerbahçe 1.8 points per game, Konyaspor 1.0.
  • If Konyaspor score first, they win 50% of the time
  • If Fenerbahçe score first, they win 78% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.8
Over 2.556%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Fenerbahçe win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
122%4.62X24%4.12254%1.85
Double chance
1X46%2.18X278%1.281276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.556%1.80Under 2.544%2.25BTTS yes56%1.78BTTS no44%2.29

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Konyaspor · Columns: Fenerbahçe1-1 probability 11.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Fenerbahçe – Konyaspor22 August 20264-2
Konyaspor – Fenerbahçe9 May 20260-3
Fenerbahçe – Konyaspor15 December 20254-0
Fenerbahçe – Konyaspor31 May 20252-1
Konyaspor – Fenerbahçe13 January 20252-3
Konyaspor – Fenerbahçe6 May 20240-0