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Süper Lig · Matchday 19Sunday 31 January · 12:00 · Tüpraş Stadyumu
Beşiktaş4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Alanyaspor12th place
BJK 68%X 20%ALN 12%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Beşiktaş lead by 125 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Beşiktaş 0.8, Alanyaspor -0.5.
  • Beşiktaş take 2.2 points per game at home.
  • If Beşiktaş score first, they win 87% of the time
  • If Alanyaspor score first, they win 38% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals2.0 – 0.7
Over 2.552%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
168%1.47X20%4.93212%8.55
Double chance
1X88%1.13X232%3.131280%1.25
Goals
Over 2.552%1.93Under 2.548%2.07BTTS yes45%2.23BTTS no55%1.81

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Beşiktaş · Columns: Alanyaspor2-0 probability 13.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Alanyaspor – Beşiktaş23 August 20261-0
Beşiktaş – Alanyaspor8 February 20262-2
Alanyaspor – Beşiktaş31 August 20252-0
Alanyaspor – Beşiktaş18 May 20251-1
Beşiktaş – Alanyaspor21 December 20241-1
Alanyaspor – Beşiktaş12 May 20241-1