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Süper Lig · Matchday 19Sunday 31 January · 12:00 · Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu
Başakşehir10th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Trabzonspor3rd place
İBFK 38%X 27%TS 35%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Başakşehir take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • If Başakşehir score first, they win 66% of the time
  • If Trabzonspor score first, they win 63% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.4
Over 2.557%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Başakşehir win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
138%2.63X27%3.70235%2.86
Double chance
1X65%1.54X262%1.611273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.557%1.76Under 2.543%2.31BTTS yes60%1.66BTTS no40%2.52

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Başakşehir · Columns: Trabzonspor1-1 probability 12.2%

Form

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Head to head

Trabzonspor – Başakşehir23 August 20262-1
Trabzonspor – Başakşehir19 April 20261-1
Başakşehir – Trabzonspor24 November 20253-4
Başakşehir – Trabzonspor15 March 20250-3
Trabzonspor – Başakşehir19 October 20241-0
Başakşehir – Trabzonspor18 May 20240-1