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Süper Lig · Matchday 19Sunday 31 January · 12:00 · Eryaman Stadyumu
Gençlerbirliği14th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Göztepe9th place
GB 31%X 27%GÖZ 41%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Göztepe lead by 110 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Göztepe 2.6 points per game, Gençlerbirliği 0.8.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Göztepe 0.3, Gençlerbirliği -0.5.
  • If Gençlerbirliği score first, they win 61% of the time
  • If Göztepe score first, they win 70% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.4
Over 2.550%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Göztepe win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
131%3.21X27%3.65241%2.42
Double chance
1X59%1.71X269%1.451273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.550%2.01Under 2.550%1.99BTTS yes55%1.83BTTS no45%2.21

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Gençlerbirliği · Columns: Göztepe1-1 probability 13.2%

Form

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Head to head

Göztepe – Gençlerbirliği23 August 20260-1
Gençlerbirliği – Göztepe4 April 20260-2
Göztepe – Gençlerbirliği1 November 20251-0