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Süper Lig · Matchday 19Sunday 31 January · 12:00 · Rams Park
Galatasaray1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Erzurumspor11th place
GS 81%X 13%ERZ 6%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Galatasaray lead by 268 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Galatasaray 1.3, Erzurumspor -0.5.
  • Galatasaray take 2.6 points per game at home.
  • If Galatasaray score first, they win 93% of the time
  • If Erzurumspor score first, they win 24% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.7 – 0.6
Over 2.564%
Both teams score43%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
181%1.24X13%7.4226%17.57
Double chance
1X94%1.06X219%5.221287%1.16
Goals
Over 2.564%1.57Under 2.536%2.76BTTS yes43%2.34BTTS no57%1.75

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
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5
Rows: Galatasaray · Columns: Erzurumspor2-0 probability 13.4%

Form

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Head to head

Erzurumspor – Galatasaray21 August 20260-4