TR
Picks
Süper Lig · Matchday 12Saturday 21 November · 13:00 · Diyarbakır Stadyumu
Amed SK2nd place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Rizespor13th place
AMD 67%X 20%RİZ 13%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Amed SK 2.6 points per game, Rizespor 0.4.
  • Amed SK take 3.0 points per game at home.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Amed SK 1.3, Rizespor 0.1.
  • If Amed SK score first, they win 84% of the time
  • If Rizespor score first, they win 36% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.6 – 1.2
Over 2.572%
Both teams score64%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
167%1.49X20%5.09213%7.49
Double chance
1X87%1.15X233%3.031280%1.24
Goals
Over 2.572%1.38Under 2.528%3.61BTTS yes64%1.56BTTS no36%2.77

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
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5
Rows: Amed SK · Columns: Rizespor2-1 probability 9.1%
Amed SKWDWWW