TR
Picks
Süper Lig · Matchday 12Sunday 22 November · 13:00 · Konya Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu
Konyaspor14th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Beşiktaş4th place
KON 24%X 26%BJK 50%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Beşiktaş lead by 154 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Beşiktaş 0.8, Konyaspor -0.2.
  • If Konyaspor score first, they win 54% of the time
  • If Beşiktaş score first, they win 77% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.6
Over 2.547%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Beşiktaş win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
124%4.26X26%3.80250%1.99
Double chance
1X50%2.01X277%1.311274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.547%2.12Under 2.553%1.89BTTS yes51%1.98BTTS no49%2.02

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Konyaspor · Columns: Beşiktaş1-1 probability 12.9%

Head to head

Beşiktaş – Konyaspor31 January 20262-1
Konyaspor – Beşiktaş22 October 20250-2
Konyaspor – Beşiktaş15 March 20251-0
Beşiktaş – Konyaspor20 October 20242-0
Beşiktaş – Konyaspor19 February 20242-0
Konyaspor – Beşiktaş1 October 20230-2