TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Süper Lig · Matchday 12Saturday 21 November · 16:00 · Kocaeli Stadyumu
Kocaelispor8th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Fenerbahçe6th place
KOC 23%X 27%FB 51%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Fenerbahçe lead by 184 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Fenerbahçe 0.8, Kocaelispor -0.1.
  • If Kocaelispor score first, they win 55% of the time
  • If Fenerbahçe score first, they win 78% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals0.9 – 1.5
Over 2.544%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Fenerbahçe win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
123%4.42X27%3.72251%1.98
Double chance
1X49%2.02X277%1.291273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.544%2.27Under 2.556%1.79BTTS yes48%2.08BTTS no52%1.92

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Kocaelispor · Columns: Fenerbahçe1-1 probability 13.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Kocaelispor – Fenerbahçe2 February 20260-2
Fenerbahçe – Kocaelispor23 August 20253-1