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Süper Lig · Matchday 12Saturday 21 November · 13:00 · Rams Park
Galatasaray1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Samsunspor17th place
GS 80%X 14%SAM 6%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Galatasaray lead by 286 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Galatasaray 2.4 points per game, Samsunspor 0.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Galatasaray 1.3, Samsunspor -0.8.
  • If Galatasaray score first, they win 92% of the time
  • If Samsunspor score first, they win 24% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals3.0 – 0.8
Over 2.573%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
180%1.25X14%7.2426%16.29
Double chance
1X94%1.07X220%5.011286%1.16
Goals
Over 2.573%1.38Under 2.527%3.64BTTS yes53%1.90BTTS no47%2.12

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Galatasaray · Columns: Samsunspor2-0 probability 10.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Samsunspor – Galatasaray2 May 20264-1
Galatasaray – Samsunspor5 December 20253-2
Samsunspor – Galatasaray11 April 20250-2
Galatasaray – Samsunspor10 November 20243-2
Samsunspor – Galatasaray2 February 20240-2
Galatasaray – Samsunspor16 September 20234-2