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Süper Lig · Matchday 12Sunday 22 November · 10:30 · Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu
Erzurumspor11th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Göztepe9th place
ERZ 25%X 27%GÖZ 48%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Göztepe lead by 121 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Göztepe 0.3, Erzurumspor -0.5.
  • If Erzurumspor score first, they win 57% of the time
  • If Göztepe score first, they win 76% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.5
Over 2.545%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Göztepe win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
125%4.02X27%3.65248%2.09
Double chance
1X52%1.91X275%1.331273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.545%2.21Under 2.555%1.82BTTS yes50%2.01BTTS no50%1.99

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Erzurumspor · Columns: Göztepe1-1 probability 13.2%

Form

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