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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Süper Lig · Matchday 12Sunday 22 November · 13:00 · Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Kasımpaşa5th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Alanyaspor12th place
KAS 54%X 27%ALN 20%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Kasımpaşa 0.0, Alanyaspor -1.0.
  • Last 5 games: Kasımpaşa 1.6 points per game, Alanyaspor 0.8.
  • Kasımpaşa take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • If Kasımpaşa score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Alanyaspor score first, they win 52% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.6 – 0.9
Over 2.546%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Kasımpaşa win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
154%1.87X27%3.77220%5.02
Double chance
1X80%1.25X246%2.151273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.546%2.17Under 2.554%1.85BTTS yes48%2.07BTTS no52%1.93

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Kasımpaşa · Columns: Alanyaspor1-1 probability 12.6%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Kasımpaşa – Alanyaspor19 April 20261-0
Alanyaspor – Kasımpaşa23 November 20251-2
Kasımpaşa – Alanyaspor15 March 20252-1
Alanyaspor – Kasımpaşa20 October 20241-2
Kasımpaşa – Alanyaspor4 February 20242-1
Alanyaspor – Kasımpaşa17 September 20233-3