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Süper Lig · Matchday 26Sunday 21 March · 12:00 · Diyarbakır Stadyumu
Amed SK2nd place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Samsunspor17th place
AMD 68%X 19%SAM 12%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Amed SK 2.6 points per game, Samsunspor 0.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Amed SK 1.3, Samsunspor -0.8.
  • Amed SK lead by 110 rating points.
  • If Amed SK score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If Samsunspor score first, they win 35% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.6 – 1.1
Over 2.572%
Both teams score63%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
168%1.46X19%5.17212%8.08
Double chance
1X88%1.14X232%3.151281%1.24
Goals
Over 2.572%1.39Under 2.528%3.59BTTS yes63%1.59BTTS no37%2.70

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
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5
Rows: Amed SK · Columns: Samsunspor2-1 probability 9.1%

Form

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Head to head

Samsunspor – Amed SK24 October 20261-2