ERZ 43%X 29%GFK 28%
Prediction
Key factors
- Last 5 games: Erzurumspor 2.0 points per game, Gaziantep FK 0.0.
- If Erzurumspor score first, they win 73% of the time
- If Gaziantep FK score first, they win 61% of the time
- Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.0
Over 2.542%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-1
Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Erzurumspor win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
143%2.32X29%3.44228%3.59
Double chance
1X72%1.39X257%1.761271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.542%2.36Under 2.558%1.74BTTS yes48%2.06BTTS no52%1.94
Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.
Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Erzurumspor · Columns: Gaziantep FK1-1 probability 13.8%
Form
Compare →Head to head
Gaziantep FK – Erzurumspor24 October 20261-3
Erzurumspor11th place
Gaziantep FK16th place