TR
Picks
Süper Lig · Matchday 26Sunday 21 March · 12:00 · Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu
Erzurumspor11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Gaziantep FK16th place
ERZ 43%X 29%GFK 28%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Erzurumspor 2.0 points per game, Gaziantep FK 0.0.
  • If Erzurumspor score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Gaziantep FK score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.0
Over 2.542%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Erzurumspor win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
143%2.32X29%3.44228%3.59
Double chance
1X72%1.39X257%1.761271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.542%2.36Under 2.558%1.74BTTS yes48%2.06BTTS no52%1.94

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Erzurumspor · Columns: Gaziantep FK1-1 probability 13.8%

Head to head

Gaziantep FK – Erzurumspor24 October 20261-3