TR
Picks
Süper Lig · Matchday 26Sunday 21 March · 12:00 · Papara Park
Trabzonspor3rd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Rizespor13th place
TS 66%X 21%RİZ 13%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Trabzonspor lead by 187 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Trabzonspor 3.0 points per game, Rizespor 0.4.
  • Trabzonspor take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • If Trabzonspor score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If Rizespor score first, they win 38% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.3 – 0.9
Over 2.562%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
166%1.50X21%4.80213%7.88
Double chance
1X87%1.15X234%2.981279%1.26
Goals
Over 2.562%1.62Under 2.538%2.62BTTS yes55%1.83BTTS no45%2.21

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Trabzonspor · Columns: Rizespor2-0 probability 10.5%

Head to head

Rizespor – Trabzonspor26 October 20263-4
Trabzonspor – Rizespor14 March 20261-0
Rizespor – Trabzonspor18 October 20251-2
Trabzonspor – Rizespor13 April 20252-0
Rizespor – Trabzonspor9 November 20243-1
Rizespor – Trabzonspor25 January 20241-0