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Süper Lig · Matchday 26Sunday 21 March · 12:00 · Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu
Başakşehir10th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Beşiktaş4th place
İBFK 38%X 27%BJK 35%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Başakşehir take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • If Başakşehir score first, they win 66% of the time
  • If Beşiktaş score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.4
Over 2.554%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Başakşehir win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
138%2.66X27%3.64235%2.86
Double chance
1X65%1.54X262%1.601273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.554%1.84Under 2.546%2.20BTTS yes59%1.70BTTS no41%2.42

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Başakşehir · Columns: Beşiktaş1-1 probability 12.5%

Form

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Head to head

Beşiktaş – Başakşehir26 October 20262-0
Başakşehir – Beşiktaş15 February 20262-3
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Beşiktaş – Başakşehir12 April 20250-2
Başakşehir – Beşiktaş10 November 20240-0
Başakşehir – Beşiktaş4 April 20241-1