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Süper Lig · Matchday 20Sunday 7 February · 12:00 · Çorum Şehir Stadyumu
Çorum FK7th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Beşiktaş4th place
ÇOR 28%X 27%BJK 45%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Beşiktaş lead by 100 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Beşiktaş 0.8, Çorum FK -0.1.
  • If Çorum FK score first, they win 56% of the time
  • If Beşiktaş score first, they win 71% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.8
Over 2.561%
Both teams score63%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Beşiktaş win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
128%3.59X27%3.75245%2.20
Double chance
1X55%1.83X272%1.391273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.561%1.63Under 2.539%2.59BTTS yes63%1.58BTTS no37%2.71

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Çorum FK · Columns: Beşiktaş1-1 probability 11.1%

Form

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Head to head

Beşiktaş – Çorum FK31 August 20266-2