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Süper Lig · Matchday 20Sunday 7 February · 12:00 · Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu
Göztepe9th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Galatasaray1st place
GÖZ 30%X 26%GS 45%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Galatasaray lead by 147 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Galatasaray 1.3, Göztepe 0.3.
  • Galatasaray take 1.8 points per game away.
  • If Göztepe score first, they win 57% of the time
  • If Galatasaray score first, they win 70% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.7
Over 2.559%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Galatasaray win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
130%3.38X26%3.87245%2.24
Double chance
1X55%1.80X270%1.421274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.559%1.70Under 2.541%2.42BTTS yes61%1.63BTTS no39%2.58

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Göztepe · Columns: Galatasaray1-1 probability 11.7%

Form

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Head to head

Galatasaray – Göztepe29 August 20263-2
Göztepe – Galatasaray8 April 20261-3
Galatasaray – Göztepe26 October 20253-1
Göztepe – Galatasaray24 May 20250-2
Galatasaray – Göztepe4 January 20252-1
Göztepe – Galatasaray21 February 20222-3