TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Süper Lig · Matchday 20Sunday 7 February · 12:00 · Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Kasımpaşa5th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Başakşehir10th place
KAS 37%X 28%İBFK 34%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Kasımpaşa take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • If Kasımpaşa score first, they win 66% of the time
  • If Başakşehir score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.3
Over 2.551%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Kasımpaşa win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
137%2.69X28%3.53234%2.90
Double chance
1X66%1.53X263%1.591272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.551%1.95Under 2.549%2.05BTTS yes56%1.78BTTS no44%2.28

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Kasımpaşa · Columns: Başakşehir1-1 probability 13.0%

Form

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Head to head

Başakşehir – Kasımpaşa30 August 20261-1
Başakşehir – Kasımpaşa24 April 20264-0
Kasımpaşa – Başakşehir29 November 20251-3
Kasımpaşa – Başakşehir18 May 20252-3
Başakşehir – Kasımpaşa23 December 20242-2
Başakşehir – Kasımpaşa5 May 20244-1