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Süper Lig · Matchday 20Sunday 7 February · 12:00 · Chobani Stadyumu
Fenerbahçe6th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Samsunspor17th place
FB 76%X 16%SAM 8%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Fenerbahçe lead by 246 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Fenerbahçe 1.8 points per game, Samsunspor 0.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Fenerbahçe 0.8, Samsunspor -0.8.
  • If Fenerbahçe score first, they win 90% of the time
  • If Samsunspor score first, they win 27% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.9 – 0.9
Over 2.573%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
176%1.31X16%6.3328%12.67
Double chance
1X92%1.09X224%4.221284%1.19
Goals
Over 2.573%1.36Under 2.527%3.74BTTS yes58%1.74BTTS no42%2.36

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Fenerbahçe · Columns: Samsunspor2-0 probability 9.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Samsunspor – Fenerbahçe30 August 20260-2
Fenerbahçe – Samsunspor8 March 20263-2
Samsunspor – Fenerbahçe5 October 20250-0
Fenerbahçe – Samsunspor16 March 20250-0
Samsunspor – Fenerbahçe20 October 20242-2
Fenerbahçe – Samsunspor21 January 20241-1