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Süper Lig · Matchday 20Sunday 7 February · 12:00 · Papara Park
Trabzonspor3rd place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Amed SK2nd place
TS 53%X 25%AMD 22%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Trabzonspor lead by 130 rating points.
  • Trabzonspor take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • If Trabzonspor score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Amed SK score first, they win 49% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.3
Over 2.565%
Both teams score64%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Trabzonspor win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
153%1.90X25%3.98222%4.48
Double chance
1X78%1.29X247%2.111275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.565%1.54Under 2.535%2.84BTTS yes64%1.56BTTS no36%2.78

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Trabzonspor · Columns: Amed SK1-1 probability 10.1%

Form

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Head to head

Amed SK – Trabzonspor31 August 20262-1