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Süper Lig · Matchday 20Sunday 7 February · 12:00 · Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu
Erzurumspor11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Gençlerbirliği14th place
ERZ 41%X 29%GB 30%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Erzurumspor 2.0 points per game, Gençlerbirliği 0.8.
  • If Erzurumspor score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Gençlerbirliği score first, they win 63% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.0
Over 2.541%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Erzurumspor win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
141%2.45X29%3.39230%3.37
Double chance
1X70%1.42X259%1.691271%1.42
Goals
Over 2.541%2.47Under 2.559%1.68BTTS yes47%2.11BTTS no53%1.90

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Erzurumspor · Columns: Gençlerbirliği1-1 probability 14.0%

Form

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Head to head

Gençlerbirliği – Erzurumspor28 August 20261-1