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Bundesliga · Matchday 23Saturday 27 February · 14:30 · Europa-Park Stadion
Freiburg3rd place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Leverkusen6th place
SCF 44%X 26%B04 30%

Prediction

  • If Freiburg score first, they win 69% of the time
  • If Leverkusen score first, they win 57% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.4
Over 2.562%
Both teams score64%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Freiburg win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.28X26%3.79230%3.36
Double chance
1X70%1.42X256%1.781274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.562%1.60Under 2.538%2.66BTTS yes64%1.56BTTS no36%2.79

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Freiburg · Columns: Leverkusen1-1 probability 11.0%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Leverkusen – Freiburg18 October 20262-1
Freiburg – Leverkusen7 March 20263-3
Leverkusen – Freiburg26 October 20252-0
Freiburg – Leverkusen4 May 20252-2
Leverkusen – Freiburg21 December 20245-1
Freiburg – Leverkusen17 March 20242-3