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Bundesliga · Matchday 23Saturday 27 February · 14:30 · Red Bull Arena Leipzig
RB Leipzig4th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2High confidence
Bayern Munich1st place
RBL 22%X 22%FCB 56%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bayern Munich lead by 174 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Bayern Munich 2.4, RB Leipzig 1.0.
  • Bayern Munich take 2.4 points per game away.
  • If RB Leipzig score first, they win 46% of the time
  • If Bayern Munich score first, they win 76% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals1.5 – 2.4
Over 2.575%
Both teams score72%
Likeliest score1-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
122%4.55X22%4.47256%1.80
Double chance
1X44%2.25X278%1.281278%1.29
Goals
Over 2.575%1.33Under 2.525%4.02BTTS yes72%1.40BTTS no28%3.52

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: RB Leipzig · Columns: Bayern Munich1-2 probability 8.7%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig17 October 20266-1
RB Leipzig – Bayern Munich17 January 20261-5
Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig22 August 20256-0
RB Leipzig – Bayern Munich3 May 20253-3
Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig20 December 20245-1
Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig24 February 20242-1