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Champions League · League phase, matchday 2Wednesday 14 October · 20:00 · Villa Park
Aston Villa2nd place
Full time6-0Rinvalo's pick: 2-0✓ Result correct
Fenerbahçe31st place
AVL 62%X 19%FB 19%

Prediction

Predicted: 2-0
Key factors
  • Aston Villa lead by 107 points on the European rating.
  • The Premier League average is 160 points above the Süper Lig average.
  • If Aston Villa score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If Fenerbahçe score first, they win 44% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.0
Over 2.557%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-0 is the likeliest score within a Aston Villa win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
162%1.61X19%5.36219%5.24
Double chance
1X81%1.24X238%2.651281%1.23
Goals
Over 2.557%1.74Under 2.543%2.35BTTS yes55%1.83BTTS no45%2.21

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Aston Villa · Columns: Fenerbahçe6-0 probability 0.0% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Aston Villa – Fenerbahçe14 October 20266-0