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Champions League · League phase, matchday 2Wednesday 14 October · 20:00 · Aspmyra Stadion
Bodø/Glimt28th place
Full time1-0Prediction wrong
Dortmund13th place
BOD 34%X 22%BVB 44%

Prediction

Predicted: 1-2
Key factors
  • Dortmund lead by 116 points on the European rating.
  • If Bodø/Glimt score first, they win 60% of the time
  • If Dortmund score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.6
Over 2.558%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Dortmund win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
134%2.95X22%4.51244%2.28
Double chance
1X56%1.78X266%1.511278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.558%1.73Under 2.542%2.37BTTS yes61%1.64BTTS no39%2.56

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bodø/Glimt · Columns: Dortmund1-0 probability 6.1% · final score

Form

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Bodø/Glimt – Dortmund14 October 20261-0