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Conference League · League phase, matchday 5Thursday 10 December · 20:00 · American Express Stadium
Brighton7th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0
Monaco27th place
BHA 67%X 17%MON 16%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Brighton lead by 151 points on the European rating.
  • The Premier League average is 120 points above the Ligue 1 average.
  • If Brighton score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If Monaco score first, they win 39% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.9
Over 2.557%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
167%1.49X17%5.81216%6.39
Double chance
1X84%1.19X233%3.051283%1.21
Goals
Over 2.557%1.75Under 2.543%2.33BTTS yes51%1.95BTTS no49%2.05

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Brighton · Columns: Monaco2-0 probability 11.5%

Form

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