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Conference League · League phase, matchday 5Thursday 10 December · 20:00 · Stockhorn Arena
Thun33rd place
Rinvalo prediction2-1
Gent13th place
THU 47%X 21%GEN 32%

Prediction

  • If Thun score first, they win 70% of the time
  • If Gent score first, they win 57% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.3
Over 2.559%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Thun win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
147%2.14X21%4.68232%3.14
Double chance
1X68%1.47X253%1.881279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.559%1.71Under 2.541%2.41BTTS yes61%1.64BTTS no39%2.57

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Thun · Columns: Gent1-1 probability 11.7%

Form

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