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Europa League · League phase, matchday 4Thursday 5 November · 17:45 · Lotto Park
Anderlecht22nd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0
Red Bull Salzburg21st place
AND 65%X 18%RED 17%

What does the market say?

AnderlechtDrawRed Bull SalzburgRinvalo65%18%17%
Market49%25%26%

✓ Agree · both back Anderlecht

Prediction

Key factors
  • Anderlecht lead by 130 points on the European rating.
  • If Anderlecht score first, they win 84% of the time
  • If Red Bull Salzburg score first, they win 41% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.9
Over 2.557%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
165%1.54X18%5.61217%5.80
Double chance
1X83%1.21X235%2.851282%1.22
Goals
Over 2.557%1.75Market 60%Under 2.543%2.34Market 40%BTTS yes53%1.89Market 61%BTTS no47%2.13Market 39%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
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Rows: Anderlecht · Columns: Red Bull Salzburg2-0 probability 10.8%

Form

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