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Europa League · League phase, matchday 4Thursday 5 November · 20:00 · Celtic Park
Celtic35th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2
Beşiktaş8th place
CEL 31%X 22%BJK 48%

What does the market say?

CelticDrawBeşiktaşRinvalo31%22%48%
Market30%26%44%

✓ Agree · both back Beşiktaş

Prediction

Key factors
  • Beşiktaş lead by 145 points on the European rating.
  • If Celtic score first, they win 56% of the time
  • If Beşiktaş score first, they win 71% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.7
Over 2.558%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Beşiktaş win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
131%3.28X22%4.59248%2.10
Double chance
1X52%1.91X269%1.441278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.558%1.73Market 60%Under 2.542%2.37Market 40%BTTS yes60%1.66Market 63%BTTS no40%2.52Market 38%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Celtic · Columns: Beşiktaş1-1 probability 11.8%

Form

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