TR
Picks
Europa League · League phase, matchday 4Thursday 5 November · 20:00 · Turner Stadium
HAP 44%X 22%OFI 34%

What does the market say?

Hapoel Be'er ShevaDrawOFIRinvalo44%22%34%
Market47%26%27%

✓ Agree · both back Hapoel Be'er Sheva

Prediction

  • If Hapoel Be'er Sheva score first, they win 69% of the time
  • If OFI score first, they win 59% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.4
Over 2.559%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.25X22%4.63234%2.94
Double chance
1X66%1.52X256%1.801278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.559%1.71Market 57%Under 2.541%2.41Market 43%BTTS yes61%1.63Market 58%BTTS no39%2.60Market 42%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Hapoel Be'er Sheva · Columns: OFI1-1 probability 11.8%