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Europa League · League phase, matchday 4Thursday 5 November · 20:00 · Stadium of Light
Sunderland9th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1
Dinamo Zagreb18th place
SUN 58%X 20%DIN 23%

What does the market say?

SunderlandDrawDinamo ZagrebRinvalo58%20%23%
Market65%20%15%

✓ Agree · both back Sunderland

Prediction

Key factors
  • Sunderland lead by 71 points on the European rating.
  • If Sunderland score first, they win 79% of the time
  • If Dinamo Zagreb score first, they win 48% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.1
Over 2.558%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Sunderland win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
158%1.73X20%5.11223%4.44
Double chance
1X77%1.29X242%2.381280%1.24
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Market 59%Under 2.542%2.38Market 41%BTTS yes57%1.74Market 52%BTTS no43%2.35Market 48%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sunderland · Columns: Dinamo Zagreb1-1 probability 11.0%

Form

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