TR
Picks
Europa League · League phase, matchday 5Thursday 26 November · 17:45 · Tüpraş Stadyumu
BJK 61%X 19%HAP 20%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Beşiktaş lead by 94 points on the European rating.
  • If Beşiktaş score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Hapoel Be'er Sheva score first, they win 45% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.0
Over 2.558%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Beşiktaş win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
161%1.65X19%5.28220%4.91
Double chance
1X80%1.26X239%2.541281%1.23
Goals
Over 2.558%1.73Under 2.542%2.37BTTS yes56%1.79BTTS no44%2.27

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Beşiktaş · Columns: Hapoel Be'er Sheva1-1 probability 10.7%