Union Saint-Gilloise vs Lech Poznan prediction

Europa League · League phase, matchday 5Thursday 26 November · 17:45 · Joseph Marien Stadium

Union Saint-Gilloise6th place

Rinvalo prediction2-1

Lech Poznan32nd place

GIL 59%X 19%LEC 22%

Prediction

Key factors

Union Saint-Gilloise lead by 81 points on the European rating.

If Union Saint-Gilloise score first, they win 80% of the time
If Lech Poznan score first, they win 47% of the time
Chance of a goalless draw 6%

Expected goals2.0 – 1.1

Over 2.558%

Both teams score57%

Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Union Saint-Gilloise win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds

Result

159%1.69X19%5.19222%4.64

Double chance

1X78%1.27X241%2.451281%1.24

Goals

Over 2.558%1.73Under 2.542%2.38BTTS yes57%1.76BTTS no43%2.31

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)

012345

Rows: Union Saint-Gilloise · Columns: Lech Poznan1-1 probability 10.9%

Form

Compare →

Union Saint-GilloiseWDW

Lech PoznanLLD

Make your pick

Union Saint-Gilloise

–

Lech Poznan

Rinvalo: 2-1

Standings

Full table

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
5	Olympiacos	3	+3	9
6	Union Saint-Gilloise	3	+7	7
7	Juventus	3	+6	7
31	Lillestrøm	3	-7	1
32	Lech Poznan	3	-8	1
33	Viktoria Plzen	3	-5	0

Other games this matchday

2-1

1-2

1-2

2-1

2-1

2-1

0-2

2-1

2-0