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Europa League · League phase, matchday 5Thursday 26 November · 17:45 · Estadio Abanca-Balaídos
Celta Vigo25th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2
Bournemouth3rd place
CEL 21%X 21%BOU 58%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bournemouth lead by 233 points on the European rating.
  • The Premier League average is 144 points above the La Liga average.
  • If Celta Vigo score first, they win 47% of the time
  • If Bournemouth score first, they win 80% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.9
Over 2.556%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Bournemouth win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
121%4.73X21%4.88258%1.71
Double chance
1X42%2.40X279%1.271279%1.26
Goals
Over 2.556%1.77Under 2.544%2.29BTTS yes56%1.80BTTS no44%2.25

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Celta Vigo · Columns: Bournemouth1-1 probability 11.1%

Form

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