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Europa League · League phase, matchday 5Thursday 26 November · 17:45 · Doosan Aréna
Viktoria Plzen33rd place
Rinvalo prediction1-2
Benfica1st place
VIK 20%X 20%BEN 60%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Benfica lead by 244 points on the European rating.
  • If Viktoria Plzen score first, they win 46% of the time
  • If Benfica score first, they win 81% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.9
Over 2.556%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Benfica win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
120%4.97X20%4.93260%1.68
Double chance
1X40%2.48X280%1.251280%1.25
Goals
Over 2.556%1.78Under 2.544%2.28BTTS yes55%1.82BTTS no45%2.21

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Viktoria Plzen · Columns: Benfica1-1 probability 11.0%

Form

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