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Europa League · League phase, matchday 5Thursday 26 November · 20:00 · Groupama Aréna
Ferencvaros4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0
Celje29th place
FER 68%X 17%CEL 15%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Ferencvaros lead by 155 points on the European rating.
  • If Ferencvaros score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If Celje score first, they win 39% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.8
Over 2.557%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
168%1.48X17%5.86215%6.53
Double chance
1X85%1.18X232%3.091283%1.21
Goals
Over 2.557%1.76Under 2.543%2.32BTTS yes51%1.97BTTS no49%2.03

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
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5
Rows: Ferencvaros · Columns: Celje2-0 probability 11.6%

Form

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