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Europa League · League phase, matchday 5Thursday 26 November · 17:45 · Stadion Maksimir
Dinamo Zagreb18th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2
Leverkusen2nd place
DIN 21%X 20%B04 59%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Leverkusen lead by 237 points on the European rating.
  • If Dinamo Zagreb score first, they win 47% of the time
  • If Leverkusen score first, they win 80% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.9
Over 2.556%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Leverkusen win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
121%4.81X20%4.89259%1.70
Double chance
1X41%2.43X279%1.261280%1.26
Goals
Over 2.556%1.77Under 2.544%2.29BTTS yes55%1.81BTTS no45%2.24

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Dinamo Zagreb · Columns: Leverkusen1-1 probability 11.1%

Form

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