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Europa League · League phase, matchday 5Thursday 26 November · 20:00 · Allianz Stadium Turin
Juventus7th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0
Omonia Nicosia11th place
JUV 63%X 18%OMO 19%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Juventus lead by 110 points on the European rating.
  • If Juventus score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If Omonia Nicosia score first, they win 43% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.0
Over 2.558%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-0 is the likeliest score within a Juventus win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
163%1.60X18%5.42219%5.29
Double chance
1X81%1.23X237%2.681282%1.23
Goals
Over 2.558%1.74Under 2.542%2.36BTTS yes55%1.83BTTS no45%2.20

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Juventus · Columns: Omonia Nicosia1-1 probability 10.5%

Form

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