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Europa League · League phase, matchday 5Thursday 26 November · 20:00 · Groupama Stadium
Lyon12th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0
Lillestrøm31st place
OL 68%X 17%LIL 15%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Lyon lead by 158 points on the European rating.
  • If Lyon score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If Lillestrøm score first, they win 39% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.8
Over 2.557%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
168%1.47X17%5.89215%6.61
Double chance
1X85%1.18X232%3.121283%1.20
Goals
Over 2.557%1.76Under 2.543%2.32BTTS yes51%1.98BTTS no49%2.02

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lyon · Columns: Lillestrøm2-0 probability 11.7%

Form

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