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Europa League · League phase, matchday 5Thursday 26 November · 20:00 · Goffertstadion
NEC Nijmegen20th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2
Rennes13th place
NEC 33%X 22%REN 45%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Rennes lead by 124 points on the European rating.
  • The Ligue 1 average is 101 points above the Eredivisie average.
  • If NEC Nijmegen score first, they win 59% of the time
  • If Rennes score first, they win 69% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.6
Over 2.558%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Rennes win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
133%3.04X22%4.56245%2.21
Double chance
1X55%1.82X267%1.491278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Under 2.542%2.38BTTS yes61%1.64BTTS no39%2.56

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: NEC Nijmegen · Columns: Rennes1-1 probability 11.8%

Form

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