Sparta Prague vs AZ Alkmaar prediction

Europa League · League phase, matchday 5Thursday 26 November · 20:00 · epet ARENA

Sparta Prague16th place

Rinvalo prediction2-1

AZ Alkmaar10th place

SPA 49%X 21%AZ 30%

Prediction

If Sparta Prague score first, they win 72% of the time
If AZ Alkmaar score first, they win 56% of the time
Chance of a goalless draw 6%

Expected goals1.7 – 1.3

Over 2.559%

Both teams score61%

Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Sparta Prague win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds

Result

149%2.04X21%4.74230%3.34

Double chance

1X70%1.43X251%1.961279%1.27

Goals

Over 2.559%1.71Under 2.541%2.41BTTS yes61%1.65BTTS no39%2.54

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)

012345

Rows: Sparta Prague · Columns: AZ Alkmaar1-1 probability 11.6%

Form

Compare →

Sparta PragueWDL

AZ AlkmaarLWW

Make your pick

Sparta Prague

–

AZ Alkmaar

Rinvalo: 2-1

Standings

Full table

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
9	Sunderland	3	+2	7
10	AZ Alkmaar	3	+4	6
11	Omonia Nicosia	3	+1	6
15	Crystal Palace	3	+3	4
16	Sparta Prague	3	+2	4
17	Levski Sofia	3	0	4

Other games this matchday

2-1

1-2

1-2

2-1

2-1

2-1

2-1

0-2

2-1