TR
Picks
Europa League · League phase, matchday 6Thursday 10 December · 20:00 · Stadion Z'dežele
CEL 29%X 22%OLY 49%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Olympiacos lead by 156 points on the European rating.
  • If Celje score first, they win 55% of the time
  • If Olympiacos score first, they win 73% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.7
Over 2.558%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Olympiacos win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
129%3.43X22%4.61249%2.03
Double chance
1X51%1.97X271%1.411278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.558%1.74Under 2.542%2.36BTTS yes60%1.67BTTS no40%2.49

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
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5
Rows: Celje · Columns: Olympiacos1-1 probability 11.7%