OL 48%X 21%GIL 31%
Prediction
- If Lyon score first, they win 71% of the time
- If Union Saint-Gilloise score first, they win 57% of the time
- Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.3
Over 2.559%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1
Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Lyon win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
148%2.10X21%4.71231%3.22
Double chance
1X69%1.45X252%1.911279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.559%1.71Under 2.541%2.41BTTS yes61%1.64BTTS no39%2.56
Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.
Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lyon · Columns: Union Saint-Gilloise1-1 probability 11.6%
Lyon12th place
Union Saint-Gilloise6th place