RED 37%X 22%SPA 41%
Prediction
Key factors
- Sparta Prague lead by 90 points on the European rating.
- If Red Bull Salzburg score first, they win 63% of the time
- If Sparta Prague score first, they win 66% of the time
- Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.6
Over 2.558%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score1-1
Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Sparta Prague win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
137%2.69X22%4.55241%2.45
Double chance
1X59%1.69X263%1.591278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.558%1.71Under 2.542%2.40BTTS yes62%1.62BTTS no38%2.60
Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.
Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
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5
Rows: Red Bull Salzburg · Columns: Sparta Prague1-1 probability 11.9%
Red Bull Salzburg21st place
Sparta Prague16th place