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Europa League · League phase, matchday 6Thursday 10 December · 20:00 · Reale Arena
Real Sociedad14th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1
Torreense28th place
RSO 51%X 21%TOR 28%

Prediction

  • If Real Sociedad score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Torreense score first, they win 54% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.2
Over 2.558%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Real Sociedad win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
151%1.96X21%4.81228%3.56
Double chance
1X72%1.39X249%2.051279%1.26
Goals
Over 2.558%1.71Under 2.542%2.41BTTS yes60%1.66BTTS no40%2.51

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Real Sociedad · Columns: Torreense1-1 probability 11.5%

Form

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