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Primeira Liga · Matchday 10Sunday 1 November · 18:00 · Estádio do Fontelo
Académico de Viseu6th place
Full time2-1Prediction correct
Rio Ave16th place
ACV 52%X 26%RAV 22%

What does the market say?

Académico de ViseuDrawRio AveRinvalo52%26%22%
Market49%27%25%

✓ Agree · both back Académico de Viseu

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Académico de Viseu 2.0 points per game, Rio Ave 0.8.
  • Académico de Viseu lead by 60 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Académico de Viseu -0.4, Rio Ave -1.1.
  • If Académico de Viseu score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If Rio Ave score first, they win 52% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.0
Over 2.549%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Académico de Viseu win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
152%1.92X26%3.84222%4.59
Double chance
1X78%1.28X248%2.091274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.549%2.04Under 2.551%1.96BTTS yes52%1.94BTTS no49%2.06

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Académico de Viseu · Columns: Rio Ave2-1 probability 9.6% · final score

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Académico de Viseu – Rio Ave1 November 20262-1