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Primeira Liga · Matchday 10Sunday 1 November · 18:00 · Estádio do Marítimo
Marítimo14th place
Full time0-2Rinvalo's pick: 0-1✓ Result correct
Santa Clara4th place
MAR 24%X 29%SCL 47%

What does the market say?

MarítimoDrawSanta ClaraRinvalo24%29%47%
Market29%30%41%

✓ Agree · both back Santa Clara

Prediction

Predicted: 0-1
Key factors
  • Santa Clara lead by 133 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Santa Clara 2.2 points per game, Marítimo 0.4.
  • If Marítimo score first, they win 58% of the time
  • If Santa Clara score first, they win 77% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals0.9 – 1.4
Over 2.540%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Santa Clara win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
124%4.16X29%3.44247%2.13
Double chance
1X53%1.88X276%1.321271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.540%2.49Under 2.560%1.67BTTS yes46%2.19BTTS no54%1.84

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Marítimo · Columns: Santa Clara0-2 probability 9.6% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Marítimo – Santa Clara1 November 20260-2
Marítimo – Santa Clara25 February 20233-1
Santa Clara – Marítimo4 September 20222-1
Santa Clara – Marítimo23 April 20222-2
Marítimo – Santa Clara11 December 20214-1