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Primeira Liga · Matchday 10Sunday 1 November · 20:30 · Estádio Municipal de Braga
Braga7th place
Full time3-0Prediction correct
Famalicão11th place
SCB 49%X 28%FAM 23%

What does the market say?

BragaDrawFamalicãoRinvalo49%28%23%
Market52%27%20%

✓ Agree · both back Braga

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Braga 2.0 points per game, Famalicão 1.2.
  • If Braga score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If Famalicão score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.4 – 0.9
Over 2.541%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Braga win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
149%2.04X28%3.52223%4.42
Double chance
1X77%1.29X251%1.961272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.541%2.45Under 2.559%1.69BTTS yes46%2.19BTTS no54%1.84

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Braga · Columns: Famalicão3-0 probability 4.8% · final score

Form

Compare →
BragaWDLLW

Head to head

Braga – Famalicão1 November 20263-0
Braga – Famalicão19 April 20262-2
Famalicão – Braga6 December 20251-2
Famalicão – Braga25 April 20251-1
Braga – Famalicão16 December 20243-3
Famalicão – Braga18 January 20241-2