TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Süper Lig · Matchday 17Sunday 17 January · 12:00 · Gain Park Stadyumu
Alanyaspor12th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Başakşehir10th place
ALN 29%X 27%İBFK 43%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Başakşehir lead by 107 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Başakşehir 2.0 points per game, Alanyaspor 0.8.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Başakşehir 0.1, Alanyaspor -1.0.
  • If Alanyaspor score first, they win 59% of the time
  • If Başakşehir score first, they win 71% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.5
Over 2.551%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Başakşehir win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
129%3.40X27%3.69243%2.30
Double chance
1X57%1.77X271%1.421273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.551%1.97Under 2.549%2.03BTTS yes55%1.81BTTS no45%2.23

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Alanyaspor · Columns: Başakşehir1-1 probability 12.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Alanyaspor – Başakşehir21 February 20261-2
Başakşehir – Alanyaspor21 September 20251-1
Alanyaspor – Başakşehir25 January 20255-4
Başakşehir – Alanyaspor18 August 20244-2
Başakşehir – Alanyaspor13 January 20243-2
Alanyaspor – Başakşehir14 August 20232-0